JJ DANTON
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Tribune

Your steak weighs two thousand hours of AI

25 Aug 2026

One hour of generative AI weighs thirteen metres by car. Your lunch steak weighs twenty-eight kilometres. The environmental problem with AI is real. It simply isn't where everyone is looking for it.

AI pollutes. Cut down on your queries.

The item everyone points at is not the one that weighs.

You have been told that generative AI consumes water, electricity and carbon. That is true. You have been told, in the same breath, to watch your queries. That is where the reasoning breaks.

I have been training professionals in generative AI for three years. The question of environmental impact comes up in every session, usually towards the end of the first half-day, often with a note of guilt in the voice. The question is legitimate. What is far less legitimate is the state of the figures handed to us to answer it: one number per article, never the same one, never the same scope, and nobody to say which number measures what.

This piece sets out the orders of magnitude. Not to absolve AI. To make the question usable.

Two correct figures, a factor of one hundred

Before arguing about a figure, insist on knowing what it counts.

Google reports 0.26 mL of water per Gemini query. Mistral reports 45 mL. A factor of one hundred and seventy. Neither is lying. The first counts the water used to cool the data centre. The second adds the water used to generate the electricity and to manufacture the chips.

Almost every contradiction between articles is not about the data. It is about the scope. On water, three different quantities travel under the same word: what is pumped, what evaporates and never returns to the local basin, and what the electricity cost upstream. In the United States, that last one weighs roughly twelve times the cooling water. Two thirds of the water behind digital technology is not in the data centre.

On electricity, it is a stock against a flow. Data centres mean 415 TWh in 2024, about 1.5% of world electricity: the figure used by those who minimise. They also account for close to 10% of the growth in world demand to 2030: the figure used by those who alarm. Both sentences are true, and they are not talking about the same thing.

On carbon, the electricity mix decides. The same server emits roughly ten times more in Virginia than in France. The gap between training GPT-3, 552 t of CO₂e, and training BLOOM, 25 t at a comparable size, comes from that first, not from any feat of engineering.

A figure without a scope is not data. It is an argument in disguise.

What one hour costs

Come down to the unit. One query, then one hour.

Take one hour of active use, twenty queries, an explicit and debatable assumption. On the data centre side, that is roughly 6 Wh, 25 mL of water and 2.7 g of CO₂e on the world electricity mix. Six watt-hours is an LED bulb left on for forty-five minutes. Twenty-five millilitres is a mouthful.

13 metres
the distance by petrol car that emits as much as one hour of generative AI on the world electricity mix. On the French grid, a little over one metre. Converted at 214 gCO₂e per kilometre, vehicle manufacture excluded.

These figures have fallen fast, and that fall needs to be read correctly.

The energy of one query, three vintages of estimate
2023, estimate by deduction (de Vries)3 Wh
2024, sector estimates1 Wh
2025, measurement published by Google0.24 Wh
Three vintages that do not measure the same thing. 2023 is an estimate by deduction, 2024 an average of sector estimates, 2025 the only measurement whose methodology has been published. The fall is real, and it is also a fall in ignorance.

Google reports dividing the energy per query by thirty-three in twelve months. Over the same period, the electricity consumed by AI-oriented data centres jumped 50% in the single year 2025. Unit efficiency collapses, volume explodes, and the total still climbs. That is the rebound effect, and that is the real subject.

One piece of honesty few articles take on. No provider publishes its total query volume. Without that denominator, nobody, including the authors of the most serious studies, can compute the real aggregate impact of generative AI. Every global estimate in circulation rests on assumptions about volume, never on declared data.

Count the screen

The data centre is not alone in the room. There is the screen in front of you.

A comparison is only honest if it counts both ends of the chain, the server room and the device. And it is very often the device that dominates. ADEME and Arcep measure this at French national scale: devices account for between 65% and 80% of the digital footprint, and three quarters of their impact is already settled at manufacture.

One hour of use, data centre and device
Gaming on a gaming PC810 mL
4K video streaming on a TV300 mL
HD video streaming on a TV154 mL
Video call on a laptop100 mL
Web search, 30 queries88 mL
Generative AI, 20 queries95 mL
Social media on a smartphone30 mL
Converted at 2 litres per kWh, aggregating cooling water and the water used to generate the electricity. That factor varies by a factor of 75 between a French site and an Arizona site run by the same operator.

One hour of gaming on a gaming PC uses roughly seventy times more electricity than one hour of generative AI on the data centre side. One hour of video streaming on a television, thirteen times more. In both cases, the weight sits in the living room, not in the server room.

The item everyone points at is rarely the one that weighs.

What data centres actually run

AI has not emptied data centres of everything else.

560billion litres per year

What data centres actually run
Cloud and enterprise computing35 %
Video streaming and CDN20 %
Generative AI15 %
Social media and recommendation10 %
Search and indexing8 %
Storage, hot and cold7 %
Email, messaging, video calls5 %
A breakdown reconstructed from traffic and compute shares. It does not exist as such in the literature: only the AI figure is anchored to a primary source, the IEA, at 15 % of data centre electricity in 2024.

Generative AI accounts for roughly 15% of data centre electricity in 2024 according to the IEA, and should reach 35 to 50% by 2030. That is considerable, and it is still a minority. Enterprise cloud and streaming together carry more than half the load.

One actor is missing from this picture, and the absence is instructive. Bitcoin uses roughly 120 TWh of electricity a year, 2,237 billion litres of water and 40 Mt of CO₂e, for a service that produces no useful computation for anyone. On water, it weighs four times every data centre on the planet combined. It almost never appears in articles about the footprint of AI.

Zooming out

Step outside digital. Look at the world balance sheet.

4 000km³ per year

The world by sector
Agriculture and irrigation71 %≈ 2,840 km³
Household and municipal use13 %≈ 520 km³
Industry and energy, excluding textiles and digital12.99 %≈ 520 km³
Textiles and fashion2 %79 to 93 km³
Digital and data centres0.015 %≈ 0.56 km³
World freshwater withdrawals, FAO AQUASTAT 2022. Textiles and digital are carved out of the industry block, not added to it: the total stays at 100 %.

On all three resources, digital technology as a whole sits in the same order of magnitude as commercial aviation. It is a sector that counts. It is not the sector that decides.

Globally small, locally decisive.

That is the key to the whole file, and it is what the world balance sheet will never tell you. Data centres account for 0.015% of world freshwater, yet 38% of the American fleet sits in areas of high water stress, as do two thirds of the sites launched since 2022. At The Dalles, Oregon, a single site accounts for close to 40% of the town's water. The world percentage says nothing about what is happening in one valley.

The scale that puts it back in place

Put AI next to your ordinary gestures. Look.

One hour of AI on the scale of everyday lifeLogarithmic scale: each step is ten times the previous one.
1 h of generative AI, indirect included0.025 litres≈ a mouthful
1 h of HD video streaming0.154 litres≈ a shot glass
1 toilet flush6 litres≈ 240 h of AI
1 washing machine cycle50 litres≈ 2,000 h of AI
1 five-minute shower60 litres≈ 2,400 h of AI
1 beef steak, 100 g1,500 litres≈ 60,000 h of AI
1 cotton T-shirt2,700 litres≈ 108,000 h of AI
1 pair of jeans7,500 litres≈ 300,000 h of AI
One hour of generative AI uses about a mouthful of water. A cotton T-shirt uses a hundred thousand times more. Digital water is a local siting question, not a question of individual restraint.
2,000 hours
the amount of generative AI you have to accumulate to match, in CO₂, a 100 g beef steak. On water, one cotton T-shirt is worth a hundred and eight thousand.

Saving a hundred queries amounts to not driving seven metres. The gesture is symbolic. It is not material.

Where it actually plays out

Putting the volumes in proportion puts nothing else in proportion.

It would be dishonest to conclude that all is well. The best documented problems are simply elsewhere than where the debate looks for them. Local competition for water and for land. The chemical pollution of cooling blowdown, loaded with salts and biocides. Upstream manufacturing, with the ultrapure water of the foundries (TSMC used 101 million cubic metres in 2023), PFAS, solvents, mining. The mismatch in timetables between a data centre that takes two to three years to build and a grid that takes five to ten to reinforce. In the United States, fossil plant closures deferred to absorb the demand.

Your real levers come down to three gestures. Keep your devices longer: most of a device's impact is already settled at manufacture, and going from two years of use to four halves it without changing a single habit. Look at meat and at new textiles. Look at your travel, where ten kilometres in a petrol car are worth eight hundred hours of generative AI.

The false levers, meanwhile, occupy the ground. Cleaning out your inbox has almost no climate effect, and this is documented: storage accounts for roughly 0.5% of an email's life cycle, which led ADEME to reorient its own recommendations. Giving up a few queries is not an environmental policy, it is a ritual.

Lowering the resolution of a stream on a large screen, or switching off a gaming PC, does have a real effect, precisely because the device dominates.

The real fight is not in your queries. It is in where the data centres get built, and how many years you keep your hardware.

Jean-Jérôme DANTONJJ DANTON

Sources

World and national totals converge across the IEA, Berkeley Lab, the FAO, RTE and ADEME. The breakdowns by application and the hourly conversions are reconstructions, flagged as such in each chart. Per-query figures remain self-declared, and the absence of published volumes rules out any reliable aggregate calculation.

  1. International Energy Agency, "Energy and AI, Energy demand from AI", 2025. 415 TWh and 1.5% of world electricity in 2024, AI share at 15%, projections to 2030.
  2. Google, "Measuring the environmental impact of AI inference", arXiv:2508.15734, August 2025. 0.26 mL, 0.24 Wh and 0.03 gCO₂e per Gemini query, published methodology.
  3. Mistral AI, "Our contribution to a global environmental standard for AI", 2025. 45 mL per query, wider scope. Self-declared, not audited.
  4. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, "2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report", 2024. US consumption, indirect water, water stress across the fleet.
  5. FAO, "AQUASTAT, global water database". World freshwater withdrawals by sector.
  6. United Nations Environment Programme, "Emissions Gap Report 2025". World greenhouse gas emissions by sector.
  7. RTE, "The rise of data centres in France", Bilan prévisionnel 2025-2035. Data centres connected over the past two to three years draw on average only 20% of the power they requested.
  8. ADEME and Arcep, "L'empreinte environnementale du numérique", 2025 update. Devices carry 65 to 80% of the footprint, three quarters of it at manufacture.
  9. International Energy Agency, "The carbon footprint of streaming video, fact-checking the headlines", November 2020. Correction of the bits/bytes error, a factor of 8, and the revised estimate of 36 gCO₂ per hour.
  10. Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance, "Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index", 2025. Roughly 120 TWh a year, wide uncertainty.
  11. Alex de Vries, "The growing energy footprint of artificial intelligence", Joule, October 2023. Estimate by deduction of energy per query, used here as the 2023 vintage.